Predicting Top: Polymarket and Kalshi Trader Leaderboard & Tracker

Quick Overview

Predicting Top is a daily prediction market leaderboard and data tracker that ranks top Polymarket and Kalshi traders based on custom performance metrics like ROI and win rates.

About Predicting Top

What is Predicting Top?

Predicting Top is a daily prediction market leaderboard and data tracker. We monitor the top Polymarket and Kalshi traders in real-time to show you exactly who is making the most accurate market predictions.

Instead of checking multiple platforms, you can use our site to see the daily profits and losses (P&L), return on investment (ROI), and historical win rates of the best prediction traders in one clear list.

Who is it for?

Our leaderboard is built for anyone interested in prediction markets, sports betting, and global event outcomes. This includes:

New and Active Traders: People who want to follow the top prediction traders to see what they are buying and selling.
Market Researchers: Users looking to track trending markets and see where the highest betting volume is going.
Polymarket and Kalshi Users: Traders who want to track their own stats, analyze their Sharpe ratio, and compare their performance against the market average.

How it works?

We collect live, public data from major prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. We then rank the highest-performing accounts on our daily prediction leaderboard.

To keep the rankings fair, we do not just look at total money earned. We calculate a specific custom score for every trader based on real performance metrics. The final score is created using this formula:

Consistency: 25%
Returns: 25%
Win Rate: 20%
Max Loss: 15%
Profit Factor: 15%

You can also use our platform to look at individual trending markets, view the recent trades made by high-scoring accounts, and safely monitor the real-time inflows of major betting events.

Key Features

Real-time Trader Tracking

Monitor top-performing traders across major platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi with live updates on their positions and performance.

Advanced Performance Scoring

Utilizes a proprietary score weighted by consistency, returns, win rate, maximum loss, and profit factor to rank market experts.

Historical P&L Filtering

Analyze profitability across various timeframes including all-time, monthly, weekly, and daily views to spot consistent winners.

Trending Markets Insight

Identifies high-activity prediction markets with data on total volume, trader counts, and specific inflow/outflow for each event.

Recent Trade Feed

A live stream of the latest trades showing the market, side, entry price, and amount traded by ranked professionals.

Platform Integration

Aggregates data from multiple prediction ecosystem sources including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad in one unified dashboard.

Risk Analytics

View sophisticated metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio to understand the relationship between a trader's returns and their volatility.

Social Discovery

Connects trader profiles directly to their X accounts and native platform profiles for deeper community verification and following.

Frequently Asked Questions

The Score is a weighted metric consisting of consistency (25%), total returns (25%), win rate (20%), maximum loss (15%), and profit factor (15%).

The leaderboard tracks top traders and activity from major platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi.

The Sharpe ratio represents the risk-adjusted return of a trader, calculated by dividing their total return by their volatility.

Yes, you can view profit and loss data across multiple timeframes including 1 Day (1D), 1 Week (1W), 1 Month (1M), and All-time.

The Recent Trades section provides a real-time feed of activity, showing the specific market, the side chosen (Yes/No/Up/Down), the price paid, and the total amount.

Trending markets cover a wide range of real-world events including geopolitical conflicts, sports results, political elections, and financial price movements like Bitcoin or XRP.

Inflow indicates the net amount of capital entering or leaving a specific prediction market from the tracked traders over the selected time period.

Yes, the leaderboard identifies traders who are linked across different platforms, denoted by specific icons for Polymarket and Kalshi on their profile.

Predicting Top