Metaforecast

4.8 (168 reviews)
Polymarket Kalshi Manifold Metaculus
Quick Overview

Metaforecast is a prediction market search engine and data aggregator that collects future forecasts and probability odds from platforms like Polymarket and Metaculus for researchers and investors to easily access through a web dashboard or automated X bot.

About Metaforecast

What is Metaforecast?

Metaforecast is a helpful search engine and data aggregator designed to help you find prediction markets and future forecasts. It automatically collects prediction data from major forecasting platforms like Polymarket, Metaculus, and Manifold Markets, bringing them into one simple database.

Instead of checking many different websites, you can use this tool to see crowd-sourced probabilities and percentage odds in one place. The platform organizes thousands of questions covering different global topics, including political election odds, cryptocurrency price movements, sports match results, and weather events.

Who is it for?

This forecasting platform is built for people who want data-driven answers about future events. It is especially useful for a wide variety of users:

  • Data Researchers: Academics and analysts who need reliable crowd predictions and statistical odds for their studies.
  • Financial Investors: People tracking specific market trends, artificial intelligence progress, or digital assets like XRP and Solana.
  • Prediction Forecasters: Users who actively answer questions on prediction platforms and want to compare market liquidity, volume, and recent updates.

Whether you are a professional analyst or just a curious person looking for the exact probability of an event, this tool gives you clear and fast answers.

How it works?

There are two very easy ways to interact with the system and find the probabilities you need.

First, you can use the main website dashboard. Simply type your keywords into the search bar, and the system will show you a list of related prediction questions. Each result displays the current percentage prediction, the original source platform, and the specific resolution conditions.

Second, you can use the automated social media bot on X (formerly Twitter). To use this feature, simply write a post containing your search terms and tag the official bot account. The smart bot will instantly search the entire database and reply to your post with the closest forecast match it can find.

Key Features

Aggregated Prediction Search
Search across multiple forecasting platforms including Polymarket, Metaculus, and Manifold Markets to find specific predictions.
Multi-Source Integration
Consolidates data from diverse sources like GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy, Silver Bulletin, and leading prediction markets.
Real-Time Probability Tracking
Displays live percentage probabilities and qualitative likelihood assessments for various future events.
Forecasting Verification Ratings
Features a star-based rating system to help users assess the reliability and quality of different forecasts.
Automated Twitter Assistant
A dedicated bot that answers tweets with relevant forecasts based on specific search terms provided by users.
Market Liquidity & Volume Analytics
Provides detailed financial context for betting markets, including liquidity amounts, trading volume, and number of forecasters.
Comprehensive Category Coverage
Tracks forecasts across wide-ranging domains including geopolitics, sports, economics, technology, and natural disasters.

Frequently Asked Questions

Metaforecast is a search engine and aggregator for prediction markets and forecasting platforms, allowing users to find and compare probabilistic forecasts on various global events in one place.
The tool aggregates data from several major platforms including Polymarket, Metaculus, Manifold Markets, and GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy.
The platform is not currently being maintained, although the developers hope to resume maintenance in the future.
You can use the built-in search bar on the website or tag the Metaforecast bot on social media with specific search terms to receive the closest matching forecast.
The star ratings indicate a quality or confidence metric for the forecast, often based on factors like the number of forecasters, market liquidity, or the source's historical reliability.
The platform covers a wide range of topics including politics, cryptocurrency prices, weather events, sports, international relations, and scientific breakthroughs.
If a specific forecast isn't available, the site provides a direct link to suggest a new question on Metaculus.
Each forecast includes details such as the current percentage probability, the last updated date, the source platform, and specific resolution criteria for that market.

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